(Cajon Pass - Thursday, September 20th, 2007)
Finally... the upper level "Cut-Off" low pressure that has been parked south of Pt. Conception is beginning to move east.
This system will continue to bring scattered showers and isolated convection across the southland Saturday morning...then will decreasing spotty showers during the afternoon hours.
Flash Flood Watches remain in effect for the 2006 and '07 burn areas of Los Angeles... Ventura and Santa Barbara counties for the morning hours. There is high potential of debris or mud flows in these areas.
Additionally... Flash Flood Watches remain in effect for the morning hours for the mountains of San Bernardino and the Santa Ana mountain areas.
Same thing applies with these areas... mud or debris flows are possible in the recent burn areas... Such as the Butler #2 fire area near Fawnskin/Big Bear Lake.
As for the convection (thunderstorms)... Isolated thunderstorms are possible...especially over the coastal waters and coastal plain.
Thunderstorms will have the potential of producing... locally gusty winds... brief heavy downpours... small hail and cloud-to-surface lightning strikes.
Additionally... brief waterspouts or funnels are possible over the coastal waters and immediate coastline.
Snow showers are possible at or above 7,000' today over the mountains of Ventura... Los Angeles and San Bernardino counties.
1 to 3" snowfall amounts are possible above 7,500' in the mountains of Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Little or no accumulation expected over the San Bernardino's.
Finally... due to rough seas... a high risk of rip currents along the immediate coastal waters of Orange and San Diego counties on Saturday.